44 - RHP Casey Janssen
Age: 31
Nationality: American
2013 Contract: $3.9 million
Nationality: American
2013 Contract: $3.9 million
Over the past two seasons, bullpen arms don’t come as
reliable as Casey Janssen’s. In fact,
he’s been very good or better over the past three seasons, since returning to
form more than a year after surgery to repair a torn labrum that caused him to
miss the entire 2008 season. Casey took
masterful to a new level last year, picking up 22 saves, but more importantly
being a shutdown closer in a non-overpowering way. He did it with good (but not great) stuff and
superior control. Typically (like Sergio
Santos), dominant closers will walk a lot of batters, but Janssen walked
(unintentionally) 11 batters all year and only gave up 44 hits in 63 2/3
innings while striking out 67 batters.
Some people look to the K/BB ratio as an indicator of a pitcher’s
performance (others have decided that a K%/BB% is much better), but in either
case, Janssen is a rock star.
We will see what happens this year. Coming off surgery to clean out his shoulder,
Janssen has been brought along slowly this spring but is said to be ready to
start the season. He and Santos (also
recoving from surgery) will probably close in
tandem early in the season to ensure that neither pitches on back to back days
for at least a couple of weeks. This
said, Janssen has been anointed the “closer,” but my hunch is that Santos will
settle into that role (with Casey being a high leverage and 8th
inning guy) by the end of the season.
48 - LHP J.A. Happ
Age: 30
Nationality: American
2013 Contract: $3.7 million
Nationality: American
2013 Contract: $3.7 million
Coming off a newly minted contract extension as well as a
spot in the Blue Jays’ starting rotation, J.A. Happ will be the Jays’ 5th
starter. After a very good spring and
deepened concerns for Ricky Romero, Happ is looking to make a name for himself
in Toronto, rather than being that guy they got from Houston after all the
pitchers got hurt last year, or the guy the Jays sent to AAA after they added 3
better pitchers to the rotation.
Which brings us to the question of “Who is J.A. Happ?” (as a
pitcher at least). Happ’s career goes
from Philadelphia to Houston to Toronto and he has pitched decently (or worse)
in every season except for his 2009 season with the Phillies. Apparently, Happ has been on Alex
Anthopoulos’s radar since that season in which he started 23 games and went
12-4 with a 2.93 ERA and a decent 1.235 WHIP.
Not all was great in the state of Pennsylvania, though, as Happ’s FIP was
4.33 and xFIP was 4.43 that same year, numbers he actually outperformed in his
40 1/3 innings with the Blue Jays last year (4.48 FIP, 3.75 xFIP). Happ should give the Jays a decent or better
5th starter, even if Romero fails to recapture his previous self.
50 - RHP Steve Delabar
Age: 29
Nationality: American
2013 Contract: $498,900
Nationality: American
2013 Contract: $498,900
I’ve written about the Velocity program that Delabar
attended after breaking his arm and thinking he’d never pitch professionally
again. Not only did he regain health in
his shoulder, he gained arm strength and velocity as a by-product and made his
unlikely return to professional baseball and even the majors. Acquired from Seattle last season for the
paltry cost of OF Eric Thames, Delabar came to the Blue Jays and continued his
resurrection. The only major difference
between the 4.17 ERA he posted in 36 2/3 innings with the Mariners and the 3.38
ERA he posted in 29 1/3 innings with the Blue Jays is his significantly lower
HR ratio. For the Mariners, he was
giving up 2.2 HR/9 while he only gave up 0.9 HR/9 with the Blue Jays. That and his strikeout rate skyrocketed
(while his walk rate also rose).
The myth was that he became a different pitcher and was way
more dominant with the Jays, but that just isn’t true. While he threw far more split-fingered
fastballs with the Blue Jays (and fewer 4-seamed fastballs), he actually gave
up more fly balls and fewer ground balls than he did in Seattle. Whatever he did, it kept the ball in the park
and increased his already excellent K%.
If he continues that trend and even (hopefully) brings his walk rates in
line to what he did in Seattle, he will be a dominant arm out of the bullpen.
53 - OF Melky Cabrera
Age: 28
Nationality: Dominican
2013 Contract: $8 million
Nationality: Dominican
2013 Contract: $8 million
Much is known about Melky’s 2012 suspension for the use of
Performance Enhancing Drugs (PEDs).
However, he is the type of hitter that the extra strength may not
benefit. Many writers wonder if Melky
was so dominant last year (with an NL leading .346 batting average) because of
his .379 BABIP rather than the PEDs.
From watching Melky in Spring Training, I can say that he
was a hitting machine. He’s going to be
a great presence at the top of the lineup (batting second) hitting mostly
singles and doubles. His defense looked
very good (even in CF where he played a couple of times) and has shown a very
good arm. I’m very comfortable with
Cabrera, and he seems to fit in well in the Jays’ heavily Dominican populated
clubhouse.
55 - RHP Josh Johnson
Age: 29
Nationality: American
2013 Contract: $13.75 million
Nationality: American
2013 Contract: $13.75 million
Another new addition to the Jays, Johnson brings an
outstanding pedigree over from the Marlins in the National League. While A.J. Burnett never pitched as well in
the AL Beast as he did in the NL, most pundits think that Johnson will make the
transition a little bit easier than Burnett did. The reason is that, while he has had to deal
with decreased velocity after an arm injury cost him most of 2011, he has made
up for it by reintroducing his curveball and changing speeds more.
Johnson's numbers last season (the first back after an
injury) were solid, I expect even better from him this year. He looked dominant in Spring Training, and
while ST numbers aren't indicative of anything, it's good to see the imposing
righty look good.
56 - LHP MarkBuehrle
Age: 34
Nationality: American
2013 Contract: $11 million
Nationality: American
2013 Contract: $11 million
Buehrle (yes, that's spelled right) will have to pitch this
season without the support of his beloved family and dogs, but that might just
make the majors fastest worker work even faster. Buehrle is known for his consistency, his
durability, and his no-nonsense "get the ball and throw it" demeanor
on the mound. This finesse lefty gets
batters out with guile, movement, changing speed and relying less and less on a
fastball that averages 85 miles an hour.
Coming back to the AL shouldn't be a problem for Buehrle but
the man who is possibly the next incarnation of Jamie Moyer is owed $48 million
over the next three seasons. This means
that he will have to really produce at a level that is higher than expected
when a player signs one of those long-term, backloaded contracts.
62 - LHP Aaron Loup
Age: 25
Nationality: American
2013 Contract: 494,200
Nationality: American
2013 Contract: 494,200
Loup was one of the biggest surprises of 2012 coming up and
showing the "ice water in his veins" (as the TV announcers like to
say) while really showing pinpoint control (only walking 2 batters in 30 2/3
innings). He had a strong spring and
looks to make an impact again, securing his spot in the Jays' bullpen.
Loup is mostly a fastball/slider pitcher from the left side,
averaging 92.1 mph on his fastball. He's
not a power guy, but from the left side, that's pretty good. He saw about an equal split of righties and
lefties and was effective against both, but did post better numbers against
lefties than righties. While his
strikeout and walk numbers aren't much better, it looks like that Loup induced
a lot more weak contact from the left-handed batters. This is encouraging, but with a bullpen with
three lefties (Loup, Oliver, Cecil), being able to pitch to righties too will
definitely help him get some more innings.
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