MVP: Kevin Pillar
Disappointment: Marcus Knecht
A Great Start: Kevin Nolan
Disappointment: Marcus Knecht
A Great Start: Kevin Nolan
Photo: Unknown |
Kevin Pillar was the MVP of the Midwest League with Lansing despite receiving the call-up to play in Dunedin for last 42 games there. He is also playing in the Arizona Fall League
hitting .371 and with an .845 OPS in 62 ABs. Pillar is a little old for A ball (23) and will
most likely make the jump up to AA in 2013.
Most scouts don't think that he has what it takes to make the majors,
but that he makes the most out of average tools. He doesn't have a lot of power or fantastic
speed, but has been able to get it done in his 2 years of pro ball. He hit .322 in Lansing and .323 in Dunedin,
but really didn't take very many walks in his first exposure to the A-Advanced
level. Marc Hulet of Fangraphs likes his
short swing and compared him to Reed Johnson.
If he has the kind of career that Johnson does, I might be pleasantly
surprised.
Photo: Eddie Michels |
Blue Jay fans should be tracking Marcus Knecht's career with great
interest because he's a hometown boy.
Drafted in 2010 out of an American Junior college, Knecht had 2 great
years and was pegged as a rising star, and one of a trio of excellent young
outfield prospects in Lansing in 2011.
However, he had a bad year in 2012, hitting only .210 with Dunedin with
a .302 OBP and a .389 SLG. Scouting
reports think that his defense isn't all that great, which means that to really
put his career together, Knecht really needs to get it done with the bat. What I found very interesting about comparing
his numbers between 2011 and 2012 is that while there was a drop in walks and
an increase in strikeout, they are not enormous ones, and he was still hitting
for about the same amount of power (ISO* of .179 in 2012 over a .200 in
2011). One thing to keep in mind is that
in the past 2 years, Knecht has faded in the second half. Basically Knecht's problem in 2012 seemed to
be that he just wasn't getting enough hits.
I wouldn't be surprised to see Knecht repeat the level in 2012 and to
see him start the year doing much better.
Photo: Donten Photography |
24-year-old SS Kevin Nolan was on his way to an outstanding
season for the Dunedin Blue Jays when it all came apart with an injury that
struck in July and caused him to miss the rest of the season. In the end, in 310 ABs, Nolan hit
.316/.384/.471 with 23 doubles, 5 home runs and 12 stolen bases. From seeing some video on YouTube, Nolan has
a smooth and quick swing which explains his ability to make solid contact. Except for his first taste of pro ball in
2009, Nolan has hit pretty consistently all through the minors and he did spend
most of the season in 2011 in Dunedin and showed improvement this year. Nolan
hasn't shown much over-the-fence power and I don't really know much about his
upside, but if he's a good fielder and can continue to hit, he may reach higher
minor league levels over the coming seasons.
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*ISO is "Isolated Power" and is calculated by
subtracting batting average from slugging percentage.
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